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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 26 games
77%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 23 games
70%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 15 games
80%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 14 games
57%

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 31 game
84%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
65%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Sneyking · 22 games
86%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 21 game
81%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 20 games
75%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
85%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 18 games
78%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 18 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
371 picks · 338 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
331 picks · 318 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
316 picks · 473 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
289 picks · 393 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
277 picks · 191 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
271 picks · 148 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
271 picks · 404 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
264 picks · 189 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 66%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:29
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Team Falcons 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 41:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
52% · 282 games47% · 117 games
SvenSkiter
Sven
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
52% · 210 games47% · 67 games
RazorATF
Razor
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
53% · 173 games47% · 224 games
Primal BeastMalr1ne
Primal Beast
Pugna
PugnaSave-
47% · 195 games48% · 277 games
BatriderSneyking
Batrider
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
63% · 183 games44% · 358 games
RubickCr1t-
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct8:26
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Team Falcons 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 35:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
51% · 183 games47% · 167 games
AlchemistSkiter
Alchemist
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyergpK~
54% · 14 games44% · 60 games
RazorMalr1ne
Razor
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
50% · 171 game45% · 117 games
KunkkaATF
Kunkka
Tiny
TinySave-
52% · 164 games50% · 199 games
BatriderCr1t-
Batrider
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
59% · 131 game48% · 120 games
Crystal MaidenSneyking
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 59%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2