Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 28 games
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 26 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Team Falcons
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 47 games
Bristlebackoften banned
ATF · 35 games
Crystal Maiden
Sneyking · 34 games
Bounty Huntersignature
Cr1t- · 29 games
Dragon Knight
Skiter · 25 games
Tinyoften banned
Skiter · 24 games
Jakiro
Sneyking · 23 games
Muertasignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
472 picks · 515 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 501 bans
Ringmaster
390 picks · 210 bans
Tusk
368 picks · 362 bans
Terrorblade
358 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 528 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 233 bans
Kunkka
328 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 37%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 6
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:20
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Team Falcons 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
HoodwinkPure~
Nature's ProphetSkiter
PuckgpK~
Primal BeastMalr1ne
DazzleMieRo
BristlebackATF
MarciSave-
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
BaneKataomi
TuskSneyking
Game 2prediction correct47:24
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Team Falcons 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:02:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightPure~
LunaSkiter
TimbersawMieRo
PuckMalr1ne
Monkey KinggpK~
DawnbreakerATF
MuertaSave-
EnchantressSneyking
BaneKataomi
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2