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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 26 games
58%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 18 games
44%

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 30 games
53%
Luna
Luna
miCKe · 29 games
52%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 28 games
54%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
iNSaNiA · 20 games
55%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 661 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
320 picks · 367 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
317 picks · 452 bans
54%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
311 picks · 351 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
309 picks · 581 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
303 picks · 188 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
294 picks · 212 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
285 picks · 534 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 30%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:26
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
46% · 102 games55% · 88 games
Keeper of the LightNisha
Keeper of the Light
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
46% · 96 games54% · 102 games
Monkey KingmiCKe
Monkey King
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
41% · 99 games52% · 144 games
Doom33
Doom
Elder Titan
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 64 games56% · 169 games
HoodwinkBoxi
Hoodwink
Lion
LionSave-
48% · 172 games52% · 30 games
JakiroiNSaNiA
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed9:18
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Team Liquid 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 29:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
62% · 13 games41% · 207 games
RazormiCKe
Razor
Doom
DoomMieRo
46% · 156 games47% · 28 games
Visage33
Visage
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
50% · 223 games52% · 333 games
TinyNisha
Tiny
Rubick
RubickSave-
51% · 311 games70% · 41 game
OracleBoxi
Oracle
Elder Titan
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
45% · 104 games51% · 198 games
SveniNSaNiA
Sven
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2