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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
55%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 20 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 20 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 17 games
65%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%

Team Liquid

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 27 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 25 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 24 games
79%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
iNSaNiA · 21 game
57%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 21 game
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 21 game
71%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
411 picks · 516 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
375 picks · 362 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 460 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
310 picks · 362 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 570 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
266 picks · 145 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
254 picks · 366 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
254 picks · 121 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:8
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Team Liquid 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
55% · 213 games46% · 328 games
MorphlingmiCKe
Morphling
Monkey King
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
58% · 101 game52% · 147 games
Sand KingSabeRLight-
Sand King
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
47% · 113 games48% · 114 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
50% · 230 games48% · 168 games
PugnaiNSaNiA
Pugna
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
48% · 225 games48% · 125 games
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Game 2prediction correct36:6
BETBOOM TEAM 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPure~
53% · 126 games49% · 156 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingMieRo
57% · 86 games50% · 280 games
TinyNisha
Tiny
Morphling
Morphlingkiyotaka
44% · 222 games51% · 73 games
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
Dawnbreaker
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
49% · 245 games43% · 273 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Tusk
TuskKataomi
50% · 252 games55% · 149 games
PugnaiNSaNiA
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2