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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 17 games
65%

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 25 games
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 24 games
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
78%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Nisha · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
469 picks · 397 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
467 picks · 578 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
451 picks · 554 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
432 picks · 531 bans
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
417 picks · 771 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 461 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
402 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
398 picks · 871 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 5
Model total53% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:19
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Team Liquid 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
42% · 106 games54% · 60 games
SniperNisha
Sniper
Puck
PuckgpK~
56% · 243 games44% · 25 games
BloodseekermiCKe
Bloodseeker
Abaddon
AbaddonMieRo
42% · 23 games48% · 127 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Warlock
WarlockTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 41 game44% · 96 games
Crystal MaideniNSaNiA
Crystal Maiden
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
48% · 41 game64% · 146 games
ClockwerkBoxi
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 53%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1