BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 14 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 12 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
Team Spirit
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 10 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 10 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 8 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 8 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
363 picks · 560 bans
Vengeful Spirit
322 picks · 251 bans
Lion
320 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
315 picks · 460 bans
Magnus
281 picks · 449 bans
Grimstroke
277 picks · 459 bans
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 775 bans
Faceless Void
274 picks · 667 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 73%
Hero pool strength62% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total68% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:31
BETBOOM TEAM 39%Team Spirit 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:17:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaNightfall
Monkey KingYatoro
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
DoomCollapse
Templar AssassingpK~
PangolierLarl
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
SnapfireMira
LionSave-
DisruptorMiposhka
Game 2prediction correct14:30
BETBOOM TEAM 39%Team Spirit 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 39:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the LightgpK~
Arc WardenYatoro
Dragon KnightNightfall
Storm SpiritLarl
BroodmotherMieRo
PudgeCollapse
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow ShamanMira
HoodwinkSave-
Shadow DemonMiposhka
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 68%
Accuracy by game1 of 2