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PGL Wallachia Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 36 games
75%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 27 games
59%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 23 games
57%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 21 game
57%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
65%

Team Spirit

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 16 games
56%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Yatoro · 16 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 15 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 14 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Yatoro · 14 games
64%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Larl · 14 games
79%
Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 13 games
85%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
755 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
607 picks · 626 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
544 picks · 299 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
449 picks · 268 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
448 picks · 502 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
443 picks · 1178 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
439 picks · 725 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
400 picks · 256 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total57% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:34
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 44:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
VipergpK~
63% · 23 games50% · 205 games
UrsaYatoro
Ursa
Monkey King
Monkey KingKiritych
51% · 240 games50% · 185 games
LeshracLarl
Leshrac
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
52% · 235 games50% · 151 game
Primal BeastCollapse
Primal Beast
Muerta
MuertaSave-
46% · 186 games46% · 265 games
Ringmasterrue
Ringmaster
Tusk
TuskKataomi
50% · 358 games52% · 236 games
DisruptorPanto
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct28:31
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Team Spirit 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverKiritych
46% · 51 game51% · 352 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Doom
DoomgpK~
45% · 174 games55% · 296 games
GyrocopterYatoro
Gyrocopter
Mars
MarsMieRo
45% · 190 games56% · 96 games
Primal BeastCollapse
Primal Beast
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 306 games55% · 156 games
LionPanto
Lion
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
50% · 219 games44% · 40 games
Rikirue
Riki
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 57%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2