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The Bali Major 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
68%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
72%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
68%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%

Tundra Esports

Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 36 games
61%
Mirana
Mirana
Sneyking · 33 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 32 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nine · 32 games
72%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Saksa · 28 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 26 games
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Nine · 23 games
65%
Techies
Techiessignature
Sneyking · 22 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
667 picks · 696 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
632 picks · 448 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
568 picks · 1120 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
483 picks · 1018 bans
49%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
478 picks · 1197 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
456 picks · 423 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
449 picks · 714 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
424 picks · 892 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:8
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Tundra Esports 60%
The model gave 60% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomPure~
49% · 286 games55% · 224 games
Naga SirenSkiter
Naga Siren
Broodmother
BroodmotherNightfall
49% · 222 games52% · 446 games
Beastmaster33
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
46% · 392 games51% · 166 games
MarsNine
Mars
Techies
TechiesSave-
47% · 361 game52% · 337 games
BatriderSneyking
Batrider
Lich
LichTORONTOTOKYO
42% · 141 game56% · 229 games
PugnaAui_2000
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed59:40
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Tundra Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:44:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordPure~
47% · 136 games50% · 85 games
Phantom LancerSkiter
Phantom Lancer
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
52% · 394 games47% · 375 games
Doom33
Doom
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
49% · 475 games54% · 700 games
RubickNine
Rubick
Techies
TechiesSave-
48% · 434 games53% · 358 games
BatriderSneyking
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
53% · 439 games46% · 360 games
EnchantressAui_2000
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 69%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2