BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Batrider
Save- · 24 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 14 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 14 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Tundra Esports
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 27 games
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 24 games
Rubick
9Class · 21 game
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 20 games
Lunaoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
341 picks · 456 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 290 bans
Snapfire
323 picks · 216 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 446 bans
Enchantress
311 picks · 564 bans
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 373 bans
Sand King
255 picks · 763 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total58% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:21
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 40:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaPure~
UrsaNightfall
Queen of Painkiyotaka
Storm SpiritLorenof
MagnusMieRo
Visage33
Witch DoctorKataomi
ChenWhitemon
MuertaSave-
Bounty HunterSaksa
Game 2prediction missed48:27
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Tundra Esports 56%
The model gave 56% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersawkiyotaka
LunaNightfall
Drow RangerPure~
Sand King33
MarsMieRo
TinyLorenof
BatriderSave-
MuertaSaksa
ClockwerkKataomi
BristlebackWhitemon
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2