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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Virtus.proloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 10 games
60%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Lina
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
63%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 8 games
75%

Virtus.pro

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
42%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 9 games
89%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
yamich · 9 games
78%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
1ls · 8 games
75%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Xakoda · 8 games
38%
Bane
Banesignature
Xakoda · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 264 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
406 picks · 546 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
357 picks · 414 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
335 picks · 679 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
300 picks · 438 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
298 picks · 388 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
270 picks · 325 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
257 picks · 388 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:21
BETBOOM TEAM 36%Virtus.pro 64%
The model gave 64% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:12.
Game 2prediction correct25:47
BETBOOM TEAM 36%Virtus.pro 64%
The model gave 64% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 46:01.
Game 3prediction missed21:5
BETBOOM TEAM 36%Virtus.pro 64%
The model gave 64% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 23:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 64%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3