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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Virtus.proloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 39 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 30 games
80%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 26 games
81%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
63%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 23 games
70%

Virtus.pro

Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 12 games
83%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
sayuw · 12 games
58%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
Fng · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Noticed · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
40%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
sayuw · 10 games
40%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 9 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 9 games
89%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
229 picks · 272 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
228 picks · 107 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 271 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
194 picks · 415 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
194 picks · 257 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
193 picks · 415 bans
64%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
174 picks · 278 bans
47%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
172 picks · 173 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total73% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:36
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Virtus.pro 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 57:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 115 games50% · 66 games
SpectreSmiling Knight
Spectre
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
50% · 98 games45% · 88 games
InvokerSquad1x
Invoker
Weaver
WeaverPure~
43% · 50 games52% · 185 games
Nature's ProphetFng
Nature's Prophet
Tusk
TuskSave-
50% · 241 game52% · 129 games
MagnusNoticed
Magnus
Pugna
PugnaTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 86 games51% · 122 games
Dark Willowsayuw
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct33:13
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
51% · 158 games40% · 42 games
Wraith KingSmiling Knight
Wraith King
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
49% · 86 games52% · 135 games
Spirit BreakerNoticed
Spirit Breaker
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
53% · 132 games51% · 275 games
PangolierSquad1x
Pangolier
Enchantress
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 183 games48% · 51 game
WeaverFng
Weaver
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
49% · 156 games47% · 212 games
Tusksayuw
Tusk
Game 3prediction correct36:18
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Virtus.pro 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:13:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
52% · 136 games45% · 147 games
PuckSquad1x
Puck
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerPure~
53% · 99 games42% · 84 games
Dragon KnightNoticed
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
53% · 194 games50% · 141 game
Templar AssassinSmiling Knight
Templar Assassin
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 57 games49% · 128 games
Dark Willowsayuw
Dark Willow
Muerta
MuertaSave-
47% · 91 game52% · 77 games
GrimstrokeFng
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 73%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3