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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Virtus.proloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 10 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
50%

Virtus.pro

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
76%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 14 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 13 games
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 11 games
73%
Tiny
Tinysignature
sayuw · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
362 picks · 317 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 310 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 484 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
268 picks · 379 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
252 picks · 142 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
251 picks · 170 bans
56%
Magnus
Magnus
250 picks · 459 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
250 picks · 325 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total52% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:34
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Virtus.pro 52%
The model gave 52% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 1:04:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
39% · 265 games46% · 184 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Necrophos
NecrophosgpK~
56% · 30 games48% · 125 games
MarsNoticed
Mars
Doom
DoomMieRo
54% · 315 games58% · 86 games
KunkkaSquad1x
Kunkka
Elder Titan
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
58% · 80 games58% · 130 games
MiranaFng
Mirana
Lion
LionSave-
48% · 210 games46% · 375 games
Rubicksayuw
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct26:15
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Virtus.pro 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
47% · 207 games44% · 216 games
Templar AssassinSquad1x
Templar Assassin
Lycan
LycanMieRo
55% · 82 games53% · 165 games
SlarkKiritych
Slark
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
47% · 320 games51% · 151 game
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
59% · 180 games47% · 209 games
Shadow Demonsayuw
Shadow Demon
Lion
LionSave-
47% · 170 games51% · 218 games
DisruptorFng
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2