?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 33 games
76%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 25 games
56%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 23 games
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
63%

Virtus.pro

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
V-Tune · 28 games
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 23 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Antares · 23 games
74%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 20 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
V-Tune · 19 games
58%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Daxak · 18 games
83%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 17 games
35%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
644 picks · 318 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
555 picks · 567 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
408 picks · 1144 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
406 picks · 214 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
374 picks · 626 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
360 picks · 269 bans
50%
Pugna
Pugna
355 picks · 399 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
353 picks · 161 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:24
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Virtus.pro 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 53:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKiritych
40% · 212 games52% · 294 games
GyrocopterTimado
Gyrocopter
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
42% · 261 game52% · 363 games
PangolierAbed
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
47% · 253 games57% · 136 games
TidehunterDaxak
Tidehunter
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
55% · 269 games54% · 261 game
SnapfireAntares
Snapfire
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
50% · 320 games53% · 261 game
DisruptorFly
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct23:7
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerKiritych
56% · 165 games45% · 297 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
BeastmastergpK~
51% · 413 games51% · 108 games
Void SpiritAbed
Void Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
43% · 91 game49% · 265 games
DawnbreakerDaxak
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
47% · 315 games54% · 337 games
JakiroFly
Jakiro
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
53% · 342 games52% · 319 games
SnapfireAntares
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2