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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 24 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 13 games
54%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 13 games
77%

Xtreme Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 12 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 10 games
40%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 9 games
100%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 8 games
88%
Mirana
Miranasignature
XinQ · 7 games
86%
Batrider
Batridersignature
XinQ · 6 games
83%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 6 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ame · 5 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
375 picks · 336 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 317 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 469 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
278 picks · 387 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
273 picks · 401 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
272 picks · 188 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
268 picks · 145 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
260 picks · 190 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:15
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
53% · 175 games49% · 219 games
AlchemistAme
Alchemist
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMieRo
50% · 131 game47% · 399 games
Ember SpiritXm
Ember Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
55% · 229 games46% · 68 games
RazorXxs
Razor
Techies
TechiesSave-
52% · 217 games49% · 165 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 140 games40% · 41 game
Nyx AssassinXinQ
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct4:12
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Xtreme Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 27:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
64% · 87 games46% · 184 games
TerrorbladeAme
Terrorblade
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
53% · 189 games28% · 30 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Zeus
ZeusgpK~
48% · 63 games45% · 152 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
65% · 127 games45% · 135 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
Lion
LionSave-
53% · 199 games42% · 164 games
Vengeful SpiritDy
Vengeful Spirit
Game 3prediction missed23:10
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
48% · 26 games46% · 71 game
Anti-MageAme
Anti-Mage
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
52% · 84 games51% · 27 games
Outworld DestroyerXm
Outworld Destroyer
Mars
MarsMieRo
58% · 67 games50% · 211 games
TimbersawXxs
Timbersaw
Techies
TechiesSave-
56% · 133 games39% · 14 games
Shadow ShamanXinQ
Shadow Shaman
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 128 games47% · 115 games
Crystal MaidenDy
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 56%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3