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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 28 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 27 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 18 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 17 games
59%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 16 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 15 games
47%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 14 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 11 games
91%
Mars
Marssignature
Xxs · 11 games
82%
Mirana
Miranasignature
XinQ · 11 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 10 games
70%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Ame · 8 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
XinQ · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
379 picks · 346 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 324 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 502 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
307 picks · 432 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
287 picks · 212 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
281 picks · 159 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
277 picks · 423 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
271 picks · 504 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:14
BETBOOM TEAM 46%Xtreme Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
50% · 234 games50% · 176 games
Faceless VoidAme
Faceless Void
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
59% · 185 games50% · 259 games
TimbersawXm
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
53% · 158 games45% · 146 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
Techies
TechiesSave-
49% · 264 games45% · 186 games
MarsXxs
Mars
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 132 games47% · 206 games
PhoenixDy
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed21:13
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawgpK~
43% · 210 games51% · 228 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
49% · 60 games54% · 157 games
PuckXm
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
56% · 184 games52% · 141 game
MarsXxs
Mars
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 153 games43% · 111 games
Death ProphetDy
Death Prophet
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
47% · 198 games51% · 168 games
LionXinQ
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 55%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2