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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 48 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 33 games
61%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 29 games
62%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 24 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 23 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
65%

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 23 games
70%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 23 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 22 games
68%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
55%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 16 games
88%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
xNova · 15 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 15 games
53%
Tusk
Tusk
fy · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
634 picks · 996 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
529 picks · 439 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
457 picks · 636 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
454 picks · 1066 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 495 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
446 picks · 282 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
429 picks · 583 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 505 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total53% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:22
BETBOOM TEAM 50%Xtreme Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 52:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorgpK~
52% · 105 games50% · 73 games
ClinkzAme
Clinkz
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
54% · 307 games44% · 257 games
Queen of PainNothingToSay
Queen of Pain
Necrophos
NecrophosMieRo
37% · 11 games54% · 241 game
SlardarXxs
Slardar
Tiny
TinySave-
47% · 422 games54% · 279 games
Hoodwinkfy
Hoodwink
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
48% · 380 games50% · 375 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct24:10
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Xtreme Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
51% · 97 games48% · 162 games
SvenAme
Sven
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 416 games49% · 134 games
ViperNothingToSay
Viper
Razor
RazorMieRo
44% · 99 games54% · 363 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
50% · 660 games55% · 291 game
Shadow Shamanfy
Shadow Shaman
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
51% · 116 games45% · 438 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 3prediction missed12:30
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Xtreme Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
53% · 187 games47% · 95 games
TinkerNothingToSay
Tinker
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
54% · 309 games48% · 95 games
KezAme
Kez
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
48% · 283 games51% · 442 games
BatriderXxs
Batrider
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
48% · 308 games51% · 425 games
RingmasterxNova
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
49% · 611 games49% · 641 game
Tuskfy
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 53%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3