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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 38 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 34 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 30 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
55%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 21 game
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
70%

Xtreme Gaming

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 30 games
60%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 30 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 28 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 27 games
52%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 26 games
46%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 24 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 24 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
540 picks · 332 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
504 picks · 591 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
448 picks · 370 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
406 picks · 221 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
393 picks · 286 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
344 picks · 881 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 310 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
339 picks · 854 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:42
BETBOOM TEAM 55%Xtreme Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:10:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
48% · 510 games50% · 169 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Kez
KezKiritych
51% · 253 games46% · 396 games
TinyAme
Tiny
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
47% · 313 games47% · 377 games
PangolierNothingToSay
Pangolier
Rubick
RubickSave-
48% · 427 games51% · 473 games
Hoodwinkfy
Hoodwink
Bane
BaneKataomi
58% · 224 games54% · 312 games
PhoenixxNova
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct38:6
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Xtreme Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezKiritych
50% · 127 games40% · 14 games
Phantom LancerAme
Phantom Lancer
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
45% · 330 games54% · 153 games
TimbersawXxs
Timbersaw
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
51% · 195 games46% · 357 games
PangolierNothingToSay
Pangolier
Rubick
RubickSave-
47% · 284 games51% · 535 games
Hoodwinkfy
Hoodwink
Bane
BaneKataomi
55% · 169 games55% · 46 games
LichxNova
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2