BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Bigloss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MDMideng Dreamerwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Big
No games played over 6 months.
Mideng Dreamer
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
675 picks · 848 bans
Tiny
577 picks · 583 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 428 bans
Warlock
479 picks · 335 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1135 bans
Ember Spirit
405 picks · 688 bans
Shadow Fiend
398 picks · 1028 bans
Mars
394 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Big
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Mideng Dreamer
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Big 37%Mideng Dreamer 63%
The model gave 63% on Mideng Dreamer — the game was taken by Mideng Dreamer.
Game 2prediction correct
Big 37%Mideng Dreamer 63%
The model gave 63% on Mideng Dreamer — the game was taken by Mideng Dreamer.
Model check result
Model favoriteMideng Dreamer · 63%
Series resultMideng Dreamer 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2