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DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Bikini Bottomwin 1:0
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Bikini Bottom

Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 3 games
33%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 2 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshrac
ряф^^ · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
QBFY · 1 game
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
rincyq · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
fortniteMan · 1 game
0%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
ряф^^ · 1 game
100%

OG

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 16 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Nine · 15 games
40%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ari · 12 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ceb · 11 games
27%
Muerta
Muerta
Daze · 11 games
27%
Enchantress
Enchantress
xNova · 9 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
23savage · 9 games
22%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Ari · 9 games
11%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
518 picks · 712 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
427 picks · 312 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
378 picks · 868 bans
58%
Magnus
Magnus
377 picks · 997 bans
58%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 643 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 505 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 35%
Hero pool strength55% Bikini Bottom
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:13
Bikini Bottom 14%OG 86%
The model gave 86% on OG — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom in 38:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 86%
Series resultBikini Bottom 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1