BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPAWN Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
SPAWN Team
Tusk
dalul · 16 games
Mirana
TraVins · 14 games
Rubick
TraVins · 13 games
Silencer
TraVins · 12 games
Marcioften banned
dalul · 11 games
Morphlingsignature
Jikroy · 11 games
Tiny
dalul · 10 games
Disruptor
TraVins · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
526 picks · 355 bans
Tusk
496 picks · 488 bans
Tiny
483 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
370 picks · 431 bans
Mirana
352 picks · 347 bans
Snapfire
317 picks · 160 bans
Ember Spirit
286 picks · 694 bans
Clockwerk
281 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% SPAWN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:6
Blacklist International 67%SPAWN Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 27:38.
Game 2prediction missed42:24
Blacklist International 67%SPAWN Team 33%
The model gave 67% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by SPAWN Team in 39:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 67%
Series resultBlacklist International 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2