ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
Grimstroke
184 picks · 181 bans
Pangolier
183 picks · 387 bans
Dark Willow
175 picks · 73 bans
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
Earthshaker
168 picks · 166 bans
Earth Spirit
151 picks · 244 bans
Phoenix
150 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:32
Blacklist International 61%Yangon Galacticos 39%
The model gave 61% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 29:51.
Game 2prediction missed7:43
Blacklist International 61%Yangon Galacticos 39%
The model gave 61% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 30:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 61%
Series resultBlacklist International 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2