Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PPARACETAMOLwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
No games played over 6 months.
PARACETAMOL
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 541 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 669 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 455 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 686 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 241 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Blue pikachu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Blue pikachu
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:26
Blue pikachu 53%PARACETAMOL 47%
The model gave 53% on Blue pikachu — the game was taken by PARACETAMOL in 16:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue pikachu · 53%
Series resultPARACETAMOL 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1