FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blue pikachuloss 0:2series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WWhiteIcewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
No games played over 6 months.
WhiteIce
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
470 picks · 587 bans
Muerta
464 picks · 399 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 561 bans
Clockwerk
431 picks · 533 bans
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 775 bans
Tiny
417 picks · 469 bans
Magnus
400 picks · 877 bans
Lion
397 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Blue pikachu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% WhiteIce
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Blue pikachu 41%WhiteIce 59%
The model gave 59% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by WhiteIce.
Game 2prediction correct
Blue pikachu 41%WhiteIce 59%
The model gave 59% on WhiteIce — the game was taken by WhiteIce.
Model check result
Model favoriteWhiteIce · 59%
Series resultWhiteIce 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2