ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Blue Submarineloss 0:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Letowin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue Submarine
No games played over 6 months.
Leto
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
425 picks · 345 bans
Clockwerk
408 picks · 538 bans
Batrider
358 picks · 448 bans
Lion
357 picks · 188 bans
Tusk
355 picks · 376 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 582 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 816 bans
Gyrocopter
334 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Blue Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Blue Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:25
Blue Submarine 60%Leto 40%
The model gave 60% on Blue Submarine — the game was taken by Leto in 43:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlue Submarine · 60%
Series resultLeto 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1