IESF World Championship 2023 Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Болгарияloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Иорданияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Болгария
No games played over 6 months.
Иордания
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
471 picks · 503 bans
Rubick
452 picks · 216 bans
Batrider
396 picks · 666 bans
Ember Spirit
362 picks · 612 bans
Morphling
336 picks · 703 bans
Timbersaw
329 picks · 763 bans
Undying
313 picks · 522 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 643 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Болгария
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Иордания
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:44
Болгария 46%Иордания 54%
The model gave 54% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания in 36:04.
Game 2prediction correct56:21
Болгария 46%Иордания 54%
The model gave 54% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания in 33:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteИордания · 54%
Series resultИордания 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2