Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 18 games
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 12 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 12 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 12 games
Magnussignature
ILICH- · 10 games
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 10 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
502 picks · 787 bans
Batrider
461 picks · 960 bans
Mars
454 picks · 720 bans
Techies
454 picks · 352 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 599 bans
Crystal Maiden
444 picks · 195 bans
Rubick
435 picks · 206 bans
Pangolier
422 picks · 709 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 41%
Hero pool strength55% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:38
BOOM Esports 64%Aurora Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 47:47.
Game 2prediction correct24:12
BOOM Esports 64%Aurora Gaming 36%
The model gave 64% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 30:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 64%
Accuracy by game1 of 2