Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Crystal Maidensignature
Panda · 30 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Pakazs · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 20 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 20 games
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Sacred · 15 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
401 picks · 884 bans
Hoodwink
399 picks · 410 bans
Rubick
387 picks · 294 bans
Weaver
382 picks · 798 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 534 bans
Phoenix
341 picks · 675 bans
Clockwerk
333 picks · 476 bans
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 381 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total52% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:15
BOOM Esports 48%beastcoast 52%
The model gave 52% on beastcoast — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 44:02.
Game 2prediction missed35:27
BOOM Esports 48%beastcoast 52%
The model gave 52% on beastcoast — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 43:59.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 52%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2