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ESL One Stockholm Dota Major 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Weaver
Weaversignature
Tims · 17 games
94%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 16 games
88%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 14 games
79%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Skem · 13 games
77%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
92%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 12 games
75%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 12 games
92%

BETBOOM TEAM

Bane
Bane
Bignum · 12 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 12 games
42%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
fn · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 279 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 622 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 482 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
389 picks · 516 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
362 picks · 780 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 537 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
334 picks · 512 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 484 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 82%
Hero pool strength61% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:36
BOOM Esports 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 36:24.
Game 2prediction correct29:4
BOOM Esports 49%BETBOOM TEAM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2