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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Bullsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ws · 7 games
29%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 5 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
xNova · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
BoBoKa · 4 games
25%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
25%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Sacred · 4 games
75%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
50%

Bulls

Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
67%
Luna
Luna
payk · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Gardick · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
MoOz · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
payk · 1 game
100%
Lion
Lion
MoOz · 1 game
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Vitaly · 1 game
100%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
payk · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
255 picks · 433 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
229 picks · 359 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
214 picks · 284 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
209 picks · 194 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
207 picks · 99 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
184 picks · 515 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Bulls
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:24
BOOM Esports 48%Bulls 52%
The model gave 52% on Bulls — the game was taken by Bulls in 26:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPakazs
49% · 117 games63% · 39 games
WindrangerVitaly
Windranger
Mars
MarsILICH-
46% · 76 games45% · 41 game
Lifestealerpayk
Lifestealer
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPanda
50% · 62 games47% · 87 games
PhoenixGardick
Phoenix
53% · 88 games
TuskMoOz
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed29:17
BOOM Esports 50%Bulls 50%
The model gave 50% on Bulls — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 43:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerPakazs
54% · 22 games46% · 67 games
Monkey Kingpayk
Monkey King
Timbersaw
TimbersawILICH-
54% · 84 games43% · 3 games
SlardarVitaly
Slardar
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritPanda
54% · 77 games41% · 58 games
PhoenixGardick
Phoenix
52% · 55 games
GrimstrokeMoOz
Grimstroke
Game 3prediction correct41:35
BOOM Esports 50%Bulls 50%
The model gave 50% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 1:07:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanILICH-
53% · 53 games60% · 78 games
Naga Sirenpayk
Naga Siren
Weaver
WeaverPakazs
34% · 31 game49% · 148 games
Death ProphetVitaly
Death Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetPanda
51% · 193 games29% · 3 games
Winter WyvernGardick
Winter Wyvern
50% · 48 games
EarthshakerMoOz
Earthshaker
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 50%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3