OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Lion
Hyde · 19 games
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 15 games
Iosignature
Skem · 14 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 14 games
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 12 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 12 games
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 17 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 15 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 12 games
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
347 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
287 picks · 105 bans
Mars
273 picks · 420 bans
Lina
268 picks · 536 bans
Pangolier
264 picks · 365 bans
Luna
238 picks · 338 bans
Shadow Demon
234 picks · 245 bans
Nyx Assassin
218 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total70% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 70%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect