BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Fnaticwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 17 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Yopaj · 16 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
Snapfire
Tims · 15 games
Tusk
Tims · 13 games
Undyingsignature
Skem · 13 games
Batridersignature
Yopaj · 11 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
583 picks · 385 bans
Tusk
524 picks · 515 bans
Tiny
521 picks · 427 bans
Treant Protector
404 picks · 475 bans
Mirana
372 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
342 picks · 179 bans
Clockwerk
307 picks · 198 bans
Ember Spirit
305 picks · 745 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Fnatic
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total70% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:41
BOOM Esports 70%Fnatic 30%
The model gave 70% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 1:02:48.
Game 2prediction missed24:36
BOOM Esports 70%Fnatic 30%
The model gave 70% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Fnatic in 45:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 70%
Series resultFnatic 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2