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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Ivoryloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Matthew · 18 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Yadomi · 17 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 17 games
41%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 15 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Parker · 15 games
47%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DarkMago · 15 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Sacred · 14 games
79%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Matthew · 14 games
36%

Ivory

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ken · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dric~ · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 661 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
432 picks · 506 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 551 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
365 picks · 186 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
337 picks · 361 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
325 picks · 432 bans
55%
Invoker
Invoker
315 picks · 872 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 611 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:7
BOOM Esports 75%Ivory 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 24:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetJaCkky
46% · 71 game46% · 215 games
TimbersawKen
Timbersaw
Tidehunter
TidehunterFbz
59% · 41 game52% · 97 games
Sand KingRupido
Sand King
Tiny
TinyMac
48% · 256 games50% · 273 games
RubickDric~
Rubick
Lion
LionTims
51% · 182 games
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiJaunuel
51% · 35 games
Game 2prediction correct25:22
BOOM Esports 75%Ivory 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 26:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightJaCkky
44% · 33 games51% · 215 games
Storm SpiritKen
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFbz
45% · 137 games49% · 101 game
DawnbreakerRupido
Dawnbreaker
Tiny
TinyMac
52% · 196 games49% · 250 games
LionDric~
Lion
Pugna
PugnaJaunuel
54% · 87 games
Magnus
MagnusTims
53% · 113 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 88%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2