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BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Kukuysloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 19 games
58%
Puck
Pucksignature
Sancity · 18 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
JaCkky · 18 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
JaCkky · 17 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
NARMAN · 16 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Tims · 15 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 14 games
50%

Kukuys

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Gabbi · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Force · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemist
Natsumi · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristleback
Natsumi · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Gabbi · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
546 picks · 276 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
492 picks · 500 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
372 picks · 1020 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
334 picks · 381 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
321 picks · 154 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
320 picks · 537 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
319 picks · 149 bans
54%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
308 picks · 502 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:11
BOOM Esports 72%Kukuys 28%
The model gave 72% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 40:15.
Game 2prediction correct32:8
BOOM Esports 72%Kukuys 28%
The model gave 72% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 35:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 72%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2