BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 1:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Los Magicardsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ws · 7 games
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 5 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
xNova · 5 games
Lion
BoBoKa · 4 games
Morphlingoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Pugnaoften banned
Mjz · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Sacred · 4 games
Los Magicards
Dark Willow
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Drow Ranger
Mnz · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Mnz · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
Shadow Demon
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Yadomi · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Yadomi · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
253 picks · 429 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
221 picks · 353 bans
Centaur Warrunner
208 picks · 279 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 98 bans
Tusk
206 picks · 192 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
180 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 67%
Hero pool strength64% Los Magicards
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:12
BOOM Esports 61%Los Magicards 39%
The model gave 61% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 33:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 61%
Series resultBOOM Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1