OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Lion
Hyde · 18 games
Phoenix
Khezcute · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fbz · 12 games
Iosignature
Skem · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 10 games
Tinysignature
Mikoto · 10 games
Tusksignature
Hyde · 10 games
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 29 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 28 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 20 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
Leshracoften banned
Deth · 17 games
Lion
Jaunuel · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
367 picks · 175 bans
Hoodwink
336 picks · 121 bans
Lina
269 picks · 497 bans
Luna
251 picks · 343 bans
Mars
251 picks · 424 bans
Nyx Assassin
248 picks · 523 bans
Pangolier
246 picks · 323 bans
Terrorblade
234 picks · 486 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total67% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 67%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed