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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 17 games
76%
Lion
Lionsignature
Khezcute · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Tims · 14 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 13 games
69%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 13 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 13 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Khezcute · 12 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Palos · 11 games
73%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 22 games
73%
Puck
Puckoften banned
AlaCrity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Meracle · 14 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 11 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
inYourdreaM · 11 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 10 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Poloson · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
255 picks · 310 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
252 picks · 375 bans
51%
Monkey King
Monkey King
240 picks · 516 bans
62%
Lion
Lion
226 picks · 126 bans
53%
Lina
Lina
225 picks · 471 bans
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
218 picks · 240 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
217 picks · 285 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
210 picks · 281 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total67% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:14
BOOM Esports 67%Nigma Galaxy SEA 33%
The model gave 67% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 34:31.
Game 2prediction correct28:15
BOOM Esports 67%Nigma Galaxy SEA 33%
The model gave 67% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 27:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 67%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2