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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Fbz · 18 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Tims · 17 games
82%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skem · 17 games
82%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Yopaj · 16 games
75%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 16 games
63%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Skem · 14 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Tims · 14 games
64%

Talon Esports

Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 9 games
100%
Bane
Banesignature
Hyde · 8 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
kpii · 7 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
kpii · 7 games
71%
Medusa
Medusasignature
23savage · 7 games
86%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mikoto · 6 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
23savage · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Q · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
594 picks · 456 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
418 picks · 642 bans
46%
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 863 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
394 picks · 509 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
370 picks · 249 bans
57%
Snapfire
Snapfire
340 picks · 168 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
331 picks · 617 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
307 picks · 536 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 73%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BOOM Esports 58%Talon Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
BOOM Esports 58%Talon Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Game 3prediction correct
BOOM Esports 58%Talon Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 58%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3