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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Lion
Lionsignature
Tims · 25 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 22 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jaunuel · 21 game
71%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Mac · 21 game
57%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Tims · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Mac · 17 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
JaCkky · 16 games
44%

Team Spirit

Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 29 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 28 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 25 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 22 games
82%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Lion
Lion
rue · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 21 game
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
518 picks · 790 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 613 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
497 picks · 510 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
470 picks · 572 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
441 picks · 374 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
434 picks · 1003 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 783 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
392 picks · 898 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total88% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:31
BOOM Esports 27%Team Spirit 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistJaCkky
57% · 115 games49% · 107 games
UrsaYatoro
Ursa
Lina
LinaMac
55% · 134 games53% · 251 game
TinyLarl
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFbz
54% · 154 games43% · 136 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTims
52% · 60 games50% · 46 games
WarlockMiposhka
Warlock
Zeus
ZeusJaunuel
40% · 116 games49% · 39 games
Rikirue
Riki
Game 2prediction correct16:31
BOOM Esports 27%Team Spirit 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinJaCkky
50% · 168 games51% · 553 games
TinyYatoro
Tiny
Doom
DoomFbz
58% · 319 games52% · 197 games
Sand KingCollapse
Sand King
Pangolier
PangolierMac
46% · 454 games49% · 109 games
SlardarLarl
Slardar
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterTims
58% · 72 games41% · 179 games
ZeusMiposhka
Zeus
Batrider
BatriderJaunuel
49% · 427 games50% · 402 games
Shadow Demonrue
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 88%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2