BTS Pro Series Season 12: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TNC Predatorloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BOOM Esports
Marssignature
Fbz · 24 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Fbz · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 15 games
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
Miranasignature
Tims · 14 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Tims · 14 games
Rubick
Tims · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
JaCkky · 13 games
TNC Predator
Pangoliersignature
xiaoyu154 · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
Bombi · 13 games
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 12 games
Puckoften banned
xsilearn · 11 games
Warlocksignature
Roddgeee · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 10 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
662 picks · 520 bans
Marci
470 picks · 710 bans
Dawnbreaker
444 picks · 615 bans
Puck
436 picks · 899 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 418 bans
Zeus
297 picks · 388 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 464 bans
Razor
278 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:5
BOOM Esports 57%TNC Predator 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 21:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperYopaj
MorphlingKarma丶
KunkkaJaCkky
EnigmaBok
Vengeful SpiritFbz
Lichcml
UndyingSkem
Treant ProtectorTims
Game 2prediction missed16:34
BOOM Esports 60%TNC Predator 40%
The model gave 60% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 32:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendYopaj
SlarkKarma丶
NecrophosJaCkky
MarciBok
Primal BeastFbz
Dawnbreakercml
LunaTims
Treant ProtectorSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 64%
Accuracy by game1 of 2