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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Fbz · 24 games
71%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skem · 18 games
89%
Bane
Banesignature
Skem · 15 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 15 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 15 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Tims · 14 games
79%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 13 games
85%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Skem · 13 games
85%

Tundra Esports

Bane
Banesignature
Fata · 16 games
75%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingsignature
Skiter · 13 games
77%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Fata · 12 games
58%
Doom
Doomoften banned
33 · 11 games
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Nine · 11 games
82%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Sneyking · 10 games
70%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Sneyking · 9 games
56%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
Sneyking · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 569 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
440 picks · 593 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
416 picks · 716 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
351 picks · 537 bans
53%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 570 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 164 bans
47%
Wraith King
Wraith King
277 picks · 358 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 64%
Hero pool strength56% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:8
BOOM Esports 57%Tundra Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 31:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaJaCkky
48% · 177 games52% · 223 games
Templar AssassinSkiter
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritYopaj
51% · 204 games48% · 284 games
PuckNine
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierFbz
46% · 188 games45% · 96 games
Dark Seer33
Dark Seer
Mirana
MiranaTims
51% · 169 games53% · 325 games
WeaverSneyking
Weaver
Bane
BaneSkem
50% · 348 games55% · 158 games
ClockwerkSaksa
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed12:26
BOOM Esports 57%Tundra Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 34:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
45% · 106 games45% · 136 games
GyrocopterSkiter
Gyrocopter
Kunkka
KunkkaYopaj
44% · 206 games53% · 211 games
Death Prophet33
Death Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
50% · 113 games48% · 159 games
TinyNine
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaTims
56% · 206 games55% · 214 games
Monkey KingSaksa
Monkey King
Bane
BaneSkem
52% · 291 game52% · 202 games
IoSneyking
Io
Game 3prediction missed19:34
BOOM Esports 59%Tundra Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 39:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyJaCkky
56% · 141 game51% · 43 games
Chaos KnightSkiter
Chaos Knight
Snapfire
SnapfireYopaj
46% · 221 game56% · 255 games
Death Prophet33
Death Prophet
Mars
MarsFbz
48% · 381 game42% · 151 game
Earth SpiritNine
Earth Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritTims
40% · 32 games51% · 308 games
Monkey KingSaksa
Monkey King
Bane
BaneSkem
55% · 223 games49% · 241 game
AbaddonSneyking
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 61%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3