Dota 2 Champions League 2021 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Euronics Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Brame
Earth Spirit
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 11 games
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 9 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 8 games
Death Prophetoften banned
W1sh- · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
Focus · 8 games
Euronics Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
462 picks · 1024 bans
Void Spirit
430 picks · 620 bans
Mars
378 picks · 662 bans
Death Prophet
353 picks · 662 bans
Earth Spirit
339 picks · 293 bans
Phoenix
283 picks · 387 bans
Monkey King
269 picks · 853 bans
Rubick
264 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 74%
Series resultBrame 2:0
Series predictioncorrect