?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bramewin 2:1
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gambit Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
Nefrit · 18 games
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
SkyLark · 17 games
59%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakersignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 17 games
76%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 14 games
43%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
W1sh- · 14 games
43%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 13 games
62%

Gambit Esports

Bane
Bane
Panto · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
0%
Mirana
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 280 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
449 picks · 612 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 479 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
378 picks · 498 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
364 picks · 782 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 525 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
321 picks · 501 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
320 picks · 469 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 69%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:14
Brame 30%Gambit Esports 70%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Brame in 38:53.
Game 2prediction correct12:28
Brame 30%Gambit Esports 70%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 27:37.
Game 3prediction missed30:23
Brame 30%Gambit Esports 70%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Brame in 37:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 70%
Series resultBrame 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3