?
arrow_backBack to match
Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
One Movewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
SsaSpartan · 14 games
79%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SkyLark · 13 games
38%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
ThuG · 13 games
62%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
dEsire · 12 games
67%
Viper
Vipersignature
SkyLark · 12 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
dEsire · 11 games
36%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ThuG · 11 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
SsaSpartan · 10 games
80%

One Move

Mirana
Miranasignature
sayuw · 31 game
81%
Bane
Banesignature
Panto · 30 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
mellojul · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
mellojul · 28 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
mellojul · 27 games
59%
Mars
Marssignature
AfterLife · 19 games
84%
Medusa
Medusasignature
Smiling Knight · 17 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
645 picks · 475 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
445 picks · 965 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
372 picks · 442 bans
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
365 picks · 190 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 582 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 444 bans
50%
Marci
Marci
320 picks · 645 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
303 picks · 187 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% One Move
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:25
Brame 47%One Move 53%
The model gave 53% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 38:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNande
52% · 51 game55% · 44 games
BristlebackSmiling Knight
Bristleback
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightW1sh-
46% · 130 games51% · 152 games
Storm Spiritmellojul
Storm Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSkyLark
47% · 68 games51% · 38 games
SlardarAfterLife
Slardar
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCTOMAHEH1
49% · 70 games47% · 136 games
IoPanto
Io
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionSsaSpartan
57% · 51 game
Game 2prediction correct28:30
Brame 46%One Move 54%
The model gave 54% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 36:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNande
59% · 178 games31% · 51 game
SniperSmiling Knight
Sniper
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerW1sh-
47% · 133 games50% · 310 games
Puckmellojul
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSkyLark
59% · 183 games49% · 328 games
MarsAfterLife
Mars
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageCTOMAHEH1
42% · 120 games53% · 69 games
ChenPanto
Chen
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSsaSpartan
53% · 144 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 53%
Series resultOne Move 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2