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Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Brameloss 0:2
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Brame

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
39%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 15 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 14 games
71%
Oracle
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
36%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
W1sh- · 11 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
70%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
SkyLark · 10 games
70%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Focus · 10 games
60%

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 20 games
70%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Aramis · 18 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Puck
Pucksignature
BOOM · 15 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 13 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 11 games
73%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
KheZu · 11 games
91%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Aramis · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
409 picks · 997 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 575 bans
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
344 picks · 526 bans
49%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
340 picks · 351 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
327 picks · 177 bans
48%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
323 picks · 702 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
302 picks · 222 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
268 picks · 277 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 78%
Hero pool strength58% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total74% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:31
Brame 39%ViKin.gg 61%
The model gave 61% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 58:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerFocus
48% · 34 games47% · 50 games
Wraith KingShad
Wraith King
Tiny
TinyW1sh-
49% · 82 games49% · 41 game
Storm SpiritBOOM
Storm Spirit
Night Stalker
Night StalkerSkyLark
53% · 20 games65% · 14 games
SlardarKheZu
Slardar
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCTOMAHEH1
54% · 27 games39% · 63 games
GrimstrokeAramis
Grimstroke
Disruptor
DisruptorSsaSpartan
63% · 27 games56% · 22 games
Ancient ApparitionSeleri
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct15:21
Brame 35%ViKin.gg 65%
The model gave 65% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 26:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckW1sh-
46% · 91 game46% · 51 game
MedusaShad
Medusa
Broodmother
BroodmotherSkyLark
43% · 3 games55% · 31 game
Templar AssassinBOOM
Templar Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KingFocus
52% · 32 games51% · 46 games
Centaur WarrunnerKheZu
Centaur Warrunner
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionCTOMAHEH1
49% · 18 gameslittle data
HoodwinkSeleri
Hoodwink
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSsaSpartan
48% · 13 games57% · 29 games
Shadow DemonAramis
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 74%
Series resultViKin.gg 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2