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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Breeki Cheekiloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Power Rangerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Breeki Cheeki

Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ChodΣX · 5 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 4 games
75%
Magnus
Magnus
OneJey · 4 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ChodΣX · 4 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
asdekor_r · 3 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
asdekor_r · 3 games
33%
Puck
Puckoften banned
спортик · 3 games
100%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 2 games
50%

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 26 games
54%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 26 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 22 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 20 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 19 games
68%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 18 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
616 picks · 576 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
512 picks · 406 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
468 picks · 403 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
451 picks · 506 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
444 picks · 218 bans
57%
Warlock
Warlock
405 picks · 251 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
391 picks · 1034 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
385 picks · 889 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total72% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:23
Breeki Cheeki 36%Power Rangers 64%
The model gave 64% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 33:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
Sniperспортик
48% · 78 games55% · 70 games
SlarkTA2000
Slark
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainDarkLord^
43% · 248 games54% · 312 games
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Beastmaster
Chen
Chenasdekor_r
49% · 149 games55% · 102 games
Huskarnicky`cool
Huskar
Tidehunter
TidehunterChodΣX
48% · 187 games50% · 4 games
Winter WyvernHduo
Winter Wyvern
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOneJey
49% · 280 games48% · 454 games
TuskImmersion
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed50:35
Breeki Cheeki 39%Power Rangers 61%
The model gave 61% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 50:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painспортик
46% · 299 games49% · 336 games
TinyTA2000
Tiny
Monkey King
Monkey KingDarkLord^
49% · 160 games47% · 352 games
Ember Spiritnicky`cool
Ember Spirit
Batrider
BatriderChodΣX
53% · 270 games51% · 257 games
SlardarAlberkaaa
Slardar
Muerta
MuertaOneJey
55% · 194 games40% · 21 game
TechiesImmersion
Techies
Mirana
Miranaasdekor_r
56% · 47 games50% · 4 games
Winter WyvernHduo
Winter Wyvern
Game 3prediction correct17:31
Breeki Cheeki 39%Power Rangers 61%
The model gave 61% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 29:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciChodΣX
48% · 205 games52% · 185 games
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Nature's Prophet
Bristleback
BristlebackDarkLord^
49% · 267 games48% · 348 games
Tinynicky`cool
Tiny
Slardar
Slardarспортик
51% · 294 games47% · 179 games
AxeAlberkaaa
Axe
Muerta
MuertaOneJey
45% · 211 games54% · 245 games
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
Enchantress
Enchantressasdekor_r
47% · 133 games58% · 153 games
ChenHduo
Chen
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 72%
Series resultPower Rangers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3