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The International 10. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
bumble bEE'sloss 0:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:0
5ManMidasloss 0:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

bumble bEE's

Rubick
Rubick
Sneyking · 6 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Moo · 6 games
83%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
ppd · 6 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 5 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Moo · 5 games
40%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 5 games
40%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ryoya · 5 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 4 games
25%

5ManMidas

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
407 picks · 212 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
404 picks · 627 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
383 picks · 964 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
363 picks · 202 bans
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
360 picks · 343 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 226 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
280 picks · 381 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
271 picks · 201 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total51% bumble bEE's
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritebumble bEE's · 51%