Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Clubloss 1:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VooDooSh Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Club
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
601 picks · 371 bans
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
492 picks · 267 bans
Tiny
460 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
404 picks · 558 bans
Puck
341 picks · 922 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 855 bans
Tusk
329 picks · 279 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% By_Owl Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% By_Owl Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
By_Owl Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Game 2prediction correct
By_Owl Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by By_Owl Club.
Game 3prediction missed
By_Owl Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on By_Owl Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Club · 71%
Series resultVooDooSh Club 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3