BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Cooman Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 5 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Magnus
meLes · 3 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
by_Owl · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 2 games
Disruptor
by_Owl · 2 games
Cooman Team
Phoenix
Lagoona · 3 games
Weaver
judah · 3 games
Alchemist
Cooman · 2 games
Bane
Degi · 2 games
Bristleback
Lagoona · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Clinkz
judah · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
441 picks · 418 bans
Snapfire
431 picks · 217 bans
Puck
351 picks · 926 bans
Pugna
326 picks · 369 bans
Warlock
292 picks · 147 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 227 bans
Batrider
280 picks · 670 bans
Queen of Pain
279 picks · 852 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 44%
Hero pool strength57% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
By_Owl Team 54%Cooman Team 46%
The model gave 54% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team.
Game 2prediction correct39:30
By_Owl Team 52%Cooman Team 48%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 50:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaKoma`
TinyCooman
Puckavice
Gyrocopterjudah
PangoliermeLes
UnderlordLagoona
Crystal MaidenНексюша
Ogre MagiCake
Miranaby_Owl
PugnaDegi
Game 3prediction missed18:30
By_Owl Team 54%Cooman Team 46%
The model gave 54% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 36:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaKoma`
Terrorbladejudah
Zeusavice
LinaCooman
PudgemeLes
BristlebackLagoona
Skywrath MageНексюша
WeaverCake
Grimstrokeby_Owl
Shadow ShamanDegi
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 54%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3