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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Северная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
CDUB Esportswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fart Studiosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

CDUB Esports

Rubick
Rubicksignature
AfrOmoush · 12 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
islA · 8 games
63%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Sanctified · 7 games
29%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Double King · 6 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Double King · 6 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Mark · 6 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mark · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Sanctified · 5 games
60%

Fart Studios

Rubick
Rubick
Newsham · 11 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
iAnnihilate · 10 games
40%
Lina
Linasignature
iAnnihilate · 7 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Jenkins · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Sonic · 6 games
83%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
BSJ · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
Newsham · 5 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BSJ · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
982 picks · 667 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 484 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
592 picks · 943 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
559 picks · 440 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
526 picks · 353 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
525 picks · 523 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
509 picks · 1121 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
485 picks · 357 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Fart Studios
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total59% CDUB Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
CDUB Esports 59%Fart Studios 41%
The model gave 59% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by CDUB Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
CDUB Esports 59%Fart Studios 41%
The model gave 59% on CDUB Esports — the game was taken by CDUB Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteCDUB Esports · 59%
Series resultCDUB Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2