?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
chandogsloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
New Growthwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

chandogs

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Argius · 2 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Argius · 1 game
0%
Kunkka
Kunkka
mini-` · 1 game
0%
Muerta
Muerta
Argius · 1 game
0%

New Growth

Dazzle
Dazzle
Panda · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 1 game
100%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 1 game
100%
Undying
Undying
Panda · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
537 picks · 811 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
505 picks · 357 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
467 picks · 645 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
452 picks · 570 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
382 picks · 724 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
356 picks · 571 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
343 picks · 469 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 526 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% New Growth
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% New Growth
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:25
chandogs 43%New Growth 57%
The model gave 57% on New Growth — the game was taken by New Growth in 19:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaArgius
38% · 12 games56% · 85 games
JakiroPanda
Jakiro
Leshrac
Leshracmini-`
49% · 73 games
Game 2prediction correct13:30
chandogs 44%New Growth 56%
The model gave 56% on New Growth — the game was taken by New Growth in 35:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaArgius
38% · 12 games51% · 130 games
JakiroPanda
Jakiro
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritmini-`
58% · 118 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNew Growth · 59%
Series resultNew Growth 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2